When rumors appear brighter than the news

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EUR/USD trading last week was subject to breaking events from both sides of the Atlantic. New York Fed President Dudley, who is considered a member of the dovish set among FOMC members, expressed his hope that the U.S. economy had reached a turning point, hopefully leading to more substantial improvement in labor market conditions. Such thinking among FOMC doves was not evident in previous FOMC discussions. However, Dudley’s words did not convince markets of an imminent taper, as the USD traded mixed to lower against most major currencies.
Most of the weekly drama revolving the Euro was rumor-based. Rumors started surfacing on Wednesday and suggested that the ECB is considering a lower of deposit rates from what currently is zero to a negative -0.1%. The ECB did not confirm any of it, yet the rumor sufficed to see the EUR/USD immediately losing close to a cent. The rest of the day saw the release of the Fed’s October minutes. However, it is advocating the idea that advances in the job market would lead to tapering was already priced in the markets as those saw little change.
On Thursday, the EUR/USD has retracted from the previous day’s drop, as ECB President Mario Draghi attempted to slow down the rumor mill. At a speech in Berlin, when explaining what led the ECB to cut its main policy rates two weeks before, Draghi asked that the audience will not try to infer from his words on the possibility of negative rates on the deposit facility. Draghi added: “As I said in the press conference this was discussed in the last monetary policy meeting, and there are no news since then… because people tend to put things together and create their own dreams". 

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