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Tuesday 31 December 2013

More signs of recovery

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The EUR/USD rate was not the only financial asset to set new records last week. On Friday, the U.S. 10-year yields finally surpassed the 3% landmark. This is quite a latent, but not entirely unexpected reaction to the previous week’s tapering. In spite of the 10 year yields already surpassing 3% in September 2013, that case is mostly attributed to volatile anticipation for tapering, but this time the tapering is a solid, given fact.

The U.S. 10 year yield serves as a benchmark for numerous interest rates. These range from those affecting the real-estate market, such as mortgages, to those fueling equities such as corporate bonds. The low corporate bond interest rates have been regarded as catalysts of soaring equity prices lately. These led to the S&P 500 rising by nearly 30% since the beginning of the year. Likewise, the low mortgage rates in the U.S. may be regarded as primary contributors to the FHFA U.S. House Price Index recording an 8.2% annual increase in October. The affect higher U.S. Government bond yields would have on U.S. assets such as equities and real estate remains to be seen.

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